Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 1.693799e-03 0.001879 0.002066 0.002268 0.002480 0.002695 0.002928
2024-12-22 1.386435e-03 0.001652 0.001928 0.002235 0.002566 0.002908 0.003290
2024-12-29 1.183171e-03 0.001510 0.001861 0.002262 0.002702 0.003168 0.003694
2025-01-05 1.022020e-03 0.001398 0.001814 0.002300 0.002844 0.003429 0.004098
2025-01-12 8.968473e-04 0.001313 0.001788 0.002354 0.003000 0.003702 0.004516
2025-01-19 7.293415e-04 0.001163 0.001674 0.002300 0.003026 0.003828 0.004767
2025-01-26 6.097586e-04 0.001058 0.001605 0.002290 0.003098 0.004000 0.005068
2025-02-02 5.064175e-04 0.000963 0.001540 0.002278 0.003161 0.004160 0.005352
2025-02-09 4.649418e-04 0.000946 0.001567 0.002374 0.003351 0.004463 0.005797
2025-02-16 3.926901e-04 0.000877 0.001525 0.002382 0.003433 0.004639 0.006095
2025-02-23 2.995957e-04 0.000766 0.001419 0.002305 0.003408 0.004689 0.006246
2025-03-02 2.264410e-04 0.000674 0.001331 0.002245 0.003399 0.004753 0.006411
2025-03-09 1.685745e-04 0.000609 0.001294 0.002271 0.003526 0.005013 0.006847
2025-03-16 1.089910e-04 0.000525 0.001222 0.002251 0.003596 0.005209 0.007215
2025-03-23 7.248554e-05 0.000473 0.001194 0.002286 0.003738 0.005492 0.007689
2025-03-30 4.536499e-05 0.000429 0.001173 0.002330 0.003889 0.005790 0.008183
2025-04-06 2.683024e-05 0.000395 0.001164 0.002390 0.004060 0.006112 0.008706
2025-04-13 6.801816e-06 0.000322 0.001081 0.002338 0.004084 0.006251 0.009012
2025-04-20 3.257149e-07 0.000273 0.001031 0.002330 0.004162 0.006456 0.009396
2025-04-27 NaN 0.000229 0.000981 0.002319 0.004234 0.006652 0.009767
2025-05-04 NaN 0.000221 0.001004 0.002417 0.004454 0.007034 0.010363
2025-05-11 NaN 0.000189 0.000971 0.002426 0.004550 0.007258 0.010768
2025-05-18 NaN 0.000139 0.000886 0.002349 0.004525 0.007327 0.010982